Resolving Low Cloud Feedbacks Globally with E3SM High-Res MMF: Agreement with LES but Stronger Shortwave Effects
Published in , 2025
This study investigates low cloud feedback in a warmer climate using global simulations from the high-resolution multi-scale modeling framework (HR-MMF), which explicitly simulates small-scale eddies globally. Two, five-year simulations — one with present-day sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and a second with SSTs warmed uniformly by 4 K — reveal a positive global shortwave cloud radiative effect (SWCRE = 0.3 W/m$^2$/K), comparable to estimates from CMIP models. As the climate warms, significant reductions in low cloud cover occur over stratocumulus regions. This study is the first attempt to compare HR-MMF results with predictions from idealized large-eddy simulations from the CGILS intercomparison. Despite different underlying assumptions, we find qualitative agreement in SWCRE and inversion height changes between HR-MMF and CGILS predictions. This suggests reasonable credibility for the CGILS framework in predicting cloud responses under the out-of-sample conditions found in HR-MMF. However, the HR-MMF exhibits stronger SWCRE changes than predicted by CGILS. We explore potential causes for this discrepancy, examining variations in cloud-controlling factors (CCFs) and cloud conditions. Our results show a fairly homogeneous SWCRE response, with little systematic variation tied to the variations in CCFs. This reveals a dominant role for SST forcing in modulating SWCRE.
Recommended citation: Peng, L., Blossey, P. N., Hannah, W. M., Bretherton, C. S., Terai, C. R., Jenney, A. M., & Pritchard, M. (2024). Improving stratocumulus cloud amounts in a 200‐m resolution multi‐scale modeling framework through tuning of its interior physics. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16, e2023MS003632. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS00363210.1029/2021MS002841
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